2022 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker: Pass Rushers Favored

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PlayerOdds
Sauce Gardner - New York Jets-1200
Aidan Hutchinson - Detroit Lions+800
Riq Woolen - Seattle Seahawks+1600
Lewis Cine - Minnesota Vikings+5000
Nakobe Dean - Philadelphia Eagles+5000
Kayvon Thibodeaux - New York Giants+6600
Nik Bonitto - Denver Broncos+6600
Cameron Thomas - Arizona Cardinals+6600
Myjai Sanders - Arizona Cardinals+6600
Kaiir Elam - Buffalo Bills+8000
Jermaine Johnson - New York Jets+8000
Andrew Booth Jr. - Minnesota Vikings+8000
Martin Emerson Jr. - Cleveland Browns+8000
Dax Hill - Cincinnati Bengals+8000
Christian Harris - Houston Texans+8000
Brian Asamoah II - Minnesota Vikings+8000
Jack Jones - New England Patriots+10000
Kyle Hamilton - Baltimore Ravens+10000
Malcolm Rodriguez - Detroit Lions+10000
Sam Williams - Dallas Cowboys+10000
Jalen Pitre - Houston Texans+10000
Devin Lloyd - Jacksonville Jaguars+10000
Roger McCreary - Tennessee Titans+10000
Trent McDuffie - Kansas City Chiefs+10000
Jordan Davis - Philadelphia Eagles+10000
DeMarvin Leal - Pittsburgh Steelers+10000
Logan Hall - Tampa Bay Buccaneers+10000
Arnold Ebiketie - Atlanta Falcons+10000
Boye Mafe - Seattle Seahawks+10000
Devonte Wyatt - Green Bay Packers+10000
Brandon Smith - Dallas Cowboys+10000
Kingsley Enagbare - Green Bay Packers+10000
Josh Paschal - Detroit Lions+10000
Darrian Beavers - New York Giants+10000
Leo Chenal - Kansas City Chiefs+12500
Bryan Cook - Kansas City Chiefs+12500
Cam Taylor-Britt - Cincinnati Bengals+12500
Channing Tindall - Miami Dolphins+12500
Travis Jones - Baltimore Ravens+12500
Marcus Jones - New England Patriots+12500
Chad Muma - Jacksonville Jaguars+15000
Perrion Winfrey - Cleveland Browns+15000
Coby Bryant - Seattle Seahawks+20000
Jaquan Brisker - Chicago Bears+20000
George Karlaftis - Kansas City Chiefs+20000
Travon Walker - Jacksonville Jaguars+20000
Drake Jackson - San Francisco 49ers+20000
Derek Stingley Jr. - Houston Texans+20000
Quay Walker - Green Bay Packers+20000
Nick Cross - Indianapolis Colts+20000
Josh Jobe - Philadelphia Eagles+20000
Kerby Joseph - Detroit Lions+20000
Derion Kendrick - Los Angeles Rams+20000
DeAngelo Malone - Atlanta Falcons+20000
Jack Sanborn - Chicago Bears+25000
Mario Goodrich - Philadelphia Eagles+25000

The NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds board is crowded with pass rushers at the top, as those defensive ends and linebackers selected high in the 2022 NFL Draft will have a shot to contribute right away.

The first three pass rushers off the board in the draft are favored to win -- Lions DE Aidan Hutchinson (+500), Giants DE Kayvon Thibodeaux (+550) and the No. 1 overall pick, Jaguars EDGE Travon Walker (+650).

Defensive Rookie of the Year used to be a linebackers award, as LBs won 26 of the first 47 awards. And many were more traditional inside linebackers who racked up tackles and nothing else. But over the last decade, it's become more of a pass-rushers award, with six of the last eight winners making sacks their primary statistical contribution.

That's why Jets CB Sauce Gardner, Texans CB Derek Stingley and Ravens S Kyle Hamilton are not among the top betting choices, despite the first two being top 10 picks. Just 10 defensive backs have ever won Defensive Rookie of the Year. All three are in the +1000 to +1200 range, depending on the sportsbook.

The next tier has some interesting names, like Jags LB Devin Lloyd, who stuffed the stat sheet at Utah, and Eagles DT Jordan Davis, the mammoth inside presence for Georgia who had a much bigger impact than his basic stats would suggest.

This has not been an award for longshots. Most of the winners have been first-round picks and opened the season with single-digit odds.

Who Are the Defensive Rookie of the Year Favorites?

1. Aidan Hutchinson (+500)

  • Lions
  • Defensive End
  • No. 2 overall pick
  • College: Michigan

Hutchinson had a monster senior season at Michigan, helping lead the Wolverines to their first Big Ten title under Jim Harbaugh and first win over Ohio State in almost a decade.

2. Kayvon Thibodeaux (+550)

  • Giants
  • Defensive End
  • No. 5 overall pick
  • College: Oregon

Thibodeaux was favored to be the top pick at many points throughout the 2021 college season, but ultimately dipped a bit before the Giants scooped him up at No. 5. He has tons of raw ability and was one of the highest-rated recruits in high school football history.

3. Travon Walker (+650)

  • Jaguars
  • EDGE
  • No. 1 overall pick
  • College: Georgia

Walker tested so well at the combine the Jaguars passed on more productive college players to select him No. 1 overall. He posted just six sacks and 33 tackles for an elite Georgia defense in 2021.

4. Quay Walker (+900)

  • Packers
  • Linebacker
  • No. 22 overall pick
  • College: Georgia

The other Walker waited behind some great linebackers to get his shot at Georgia but became a focal point of the Bulldogs national-title winning defense. He's more of a traditional linebacker than a pass

5. Jermaine Johnson II (+900)

  • Jets
  • Defensive End
  • No. 26 overall pick
  • College: Florida State

Johnson dropped to the end of the first round but played brilliantly in his only full year as a starter. Johnson starred on the Netflix docu-series "Last Chance U" after being academically ineligible to play college football coming out of high school. He started his career at Georgia and then transferred to Florida State, where he was the ACC Defensive Player of the Year with 11.5 sacks.

FUTURESConsensusCons.
Sauce GardnerS.Gardner
+197
-1250
N/A
-1200
-1200
-1200
-1250
Riq WoolenR.Woolten
+337
+1300
N/A
+1200
+1400
+1400
+1500
Aidan HutchinsonA.Hutchinson
+900
+1100
N/A
+1000
+800
+800
+800
Kayvon ThibodeauxK.Thibodeaux
+1092
+5000
N/A
+6000
+6000
+6000
+6000
Jack JonesJ.Jones
+1200
+10000
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
+10000
Devin LloydD.Lloyd
+1548
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Travon WalkerT.Walker
+1600
N/A
N/A
+25000
+10000
+20000
+15000
George KarlaftisG.Karlaftis
+2000
+10000
N/A
+15000
+10000
+20000
+15000
Jordan DavisJ.Davis
+2500
+5000
N/A
N/A
+6500
+10000
+2500
Jalen PitreJ.Pitre
+2500
+10000
N/A
N/A
+8000
+10000
+10000
Kaiir ElamK.Elam
+2500
+20000
N/A
N/A
+8000
+20000
+10000
Jaquan BriskerJ.Brisker
+2642
+10000
N/A
+25000
+10000
+20000
+15000
David OjaboD.Ojabo
+4000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+4000
Dominique RobinsonD.Robinson
+4000
+4000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Sam WilliamsS.Williams
+5000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
+10000
Malcolm RodriguezM.Rodriguez
+5000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+8000
+20000
+10000
Quay WalkerQ.Walker
+5000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+6500
+20000
+15000
Derek Stingley Jr.D.Stingley
+5000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+5000
+20000
+15000
Jaylen WatsonJ.Watson
+5000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
N/A
Kyle HamiltonK.Hamilton
+5000
+10000
N/A
+25000
+10000
+20000
+15000
Lewis CineL.Cine
+5000
+6000
N/A
N/A
+4000
+10000
+5000
Jermaine JohnsonJ.Johnson
+5000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Andrew Booth Jr.A.Booth
+5692
+6600
N/A
N/A
+10000
+7500
+5000
Alontae TaylorA.Taylor
+6600
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+6600
Josh RossJ.Ross
+6600
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+6600
Devonte WyattD.Wyatt
+7500
+7000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+7500
+7500
Trent McDuffieT.McDuffie
+7742
+20000
N/A
N/A
+8000
+10000
+10000
Roger McCrearyR.McCreary
+7742
+10000
N/A
+25000
+10000
+20000
+10000
Christian HarrisC.Harris
+7742
+20000
N/A
N/A
+5000
+7500
N/A
Arnold EbiketieA.Ebiketie
+7956
+10000
N/A
N/A
+6500
+20000
+10000
Drake JacksonD.Jackson
+8000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+9000
+20000
+10000
Myjai SandersM.Sanders
+8183
+6600
N/A
N/A
+10000
+7500
N/A
Chad MumaC.Muma
+8238
+12500
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+5000
Nik BonittoN.Bonitto
+8238
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+6000
N/A
Cameron ThomasC.Thomas
+8573
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+7500
N/A
Brian Asamoah IIB.Asamoah
+8573
+12500
N/A
N/A
+10000
+7500
N/A
Coby BryantC.Bryant
+8573
+10000
N/A
+25000
+10000
+20000
N/A
Brandon SmithB.Smith
+8890
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kader KohouK.Kohou
+8890
+20000
N/A
N/A
+8000
N/A
N/A
Troy AndersenT.Andersen
+10000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Kyler GordonK.Gordon
+10000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+6000
+10000
+15000
Logan HallL.Hall
+10000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Boye MafeB.Mafe
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Nakobe DeanN.Dean
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+5000
+15000
Dax HillD.Hill
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+6000
Cam Taylor-BrittC.Taylor-Britt
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+20000
N/A
N/A
Leo ChenalL.Chenal
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+5000
Travis JonesT.Jones
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
N/A
Brandon SmithB.Smith
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
N/A
Kingsley EnagbareK.Enagbare
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
N/A
Phidarian MathisP.Mathis
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
Marcus JonesM.Jones
+10000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+10000
N/A
N/A
Josh PaschalJ.Paschal
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+6600
Channing TindallC.Tindall
+10000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
N/A
Bryan CookB.Cook
+10000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Martin Emerson Jr.M.Emerson
+13344
+10000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+20000
N/A
Darrian BeaversD.Beavers
+15000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
N/A
Derion KendrickD.Kendrick
+15000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+15000
N/A
DeAngelo MaloneD.Malone
+15000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+15000
N/A
Micheal ClemonsM.Clemons
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Perrion WinfreyP.Winfrey
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+15000
N/A
Mykael WrightM.Wright
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+15000
N/A
Christian BenfordC.Benford
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Kerby JosephK.Joseph
+15006
+20000
N/A
N/A
+6500
+20000
N/A
Mario GoodrichM.Goodrich
+17145
+25000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+20000
N/A
DeMarvin LealD.Leal
+17145
+15000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+20000
N/A
Jack SanbornJ.Sanborn
+17145
+25000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+20000
N/A
Josh JobeJ.Jobe
+17145
+20000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+20000
N/A
Marcus JonesM.Jones
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Nick CrossN.Cross
+20000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+20000
N/A

Who Can Win Defensive Rookie of the Year?

We covered how voters behave and which kind of players win Defensive Rookie of the Year here.

There are three main things to look out for when betting this market.

  • Does the player play linebacker or defensive line? Preferably a pass rusher. Six of the last eight winners have made sacks their primary contribution.
  • Sacks are the most accepted currency, but tackles and interceptions can help too. Defensive stats are harder to quantify, so many voters just look at basic stats like sacks.
  • Did their team's defense struggle last year, and can that player help them take a step forward? The last five winners have seem their team improve in points per game by 20 spots from the previous year.

Naturally, many of the favorites will check these boxes. Pass rushers Aidan Hutchinson, Kayvon Thibodeaux and Travon Walker top the board.

There are a few names further down the board in 2022 who check some of the boxes at better prices.

  • Devin Lloyd, LB, Jaguars (15-1): Lloyd stuffed the stat sheet for Utah. And in his final season, he had 111 tackles, 22 tackles for a loss, seven sacks, four interceptions, six pass breakups, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery. He rushed the passer and played in coverage. His path is like Darius Leonard’s — rack up a ton of tackles and chip in some sacks and INTs for a much-improved defense. I think he could also benefit from the "he's playing better than Jacksonville's No. 1 overall pick" narrative.
  • George Karlaftis, DE, Chiefs (20-1): Karlaftis checks a lot of the same boxes as the favorites at the top. He was a projected top 10 pick earlier in the NFL Draft process but fell to Kansas City. And while the Chiefs defense was fine last season and won't benefit from a big narrative jump, they should be leading a lot, and Karlaftis could find himself in pass-rushing situations.
  • Arnold Ebiketie, EDGE, Falcons (50-1): Ebiketie transferred from Temple to Penn State for his senior season and racked up 9.5 sacks and 17.5 tackles for loss. He has a path to playing time with the Falcons rebuilding pretty much everywhere, and Atlanta's defense has nowhere to go but up.

Get the full checklist here.

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